Supply/demand data are helpful for employers
and human resource managers as they look at the education levels
of their potential applicant pools. It can show program planners
where the need for trained workers lies. Supply/demand data are important for
career counselors and One-Stop staff, who can recommend
that individuals enroll in training programs that will result in the skills demanded
by employers. Workforce planners (e.g., workforce board staff,
chambers of commerce, and governor's office staff) can use supply/demand data to
help integrate workforce development and economic development, by identifying the
types of training individuals are receiving and by coordinating this training with
current and future economic development plans.
OSDS is a planning tool, designed to address problems of structural unemployment
(i.e., the mismatch between the skills that job seekers bring to the labor market
versus the skills which employers demand). The OSDS helps to identify skill imbalances
(that is, skill shortages or surpluses) in the labor market, and thereby helps to
guide the training investments of individuals and program planners.
By helping to direct the development and expansion of structured training programs
to address skill shortages, the OSDS also serves as an important economic development
tool by which workforce development organizations such as One-Stop
Centers address the critical labor inputs of industries and firms.
Furthermore, the occupational/industry employment profiles presented in the OSDS
help job developers specify the industries (and indirectly the
firms) which have the largest numbers of workers on the payroll in the occupations
of interest to job seekers. These industries and businesses will eventually have
job openings due to replacement needs, if not growth. The OSDS occupational/industry
employment distributions assist in the identification of industries and companies
to contact about employment opportunities. In this manner, the OSDS shortens job
search time and reduces frictional unemployment (that is, the time required to learn
which employers are hiring workers for occupations of interest, complete resumes,
submit applications, interview, and get hired).
2. What is the supply of labor?
The supply of labor is the total of all those who are working
(that is, the employed workforce), the unemployed population actively seeking work,
and new entrants into the labor market (including training program completers),
plus the net occupational and geographic transfers, and returning military veterans.
3. What supply data are included in the OSDS?
The OSDS contains three principal types of supply information.
As part of the human resource accounting model, which compares occupational employment
projections with occupational licensing and related training data, the OSDS includes
detailed training program completion data at the 6-digit Classification of Instructional
Programs (CIP) level for structured training programs of 300 or more class hours.
Further, the OSDS displays newly issued and active occupational licensing data and
information. In addition, the occupational supply demand system includes occupational
wage data over time, which provide summary indicators after both the supply and
demand actors have made their respective moves in a dynamic, occupational labor
market.
4. What supply data are NOT included in the OSDS?
Short-term training programs of less than 300 class hours are
generally not included in the training program completion data. Private proprietary
schools offering these short-term programs (e.g., real estate, travel, and cosmetology)
generally do not report to the National Center for Educational Statistics.
5. What is demand?
The demand for workers in the economy stems from employers' need
for labor to produce goods and services. As this need fluctuates, so does the amount
of labor demanded. Demand is estimated though occupational estimates of current
employment and projections for future job openings due to growth and replacement
needs.
Industry growth (or decline) is one component of demand, created by new businesses
or the expansion of existing businesses. The other component of demand is the need
to replace workers who leave the labor force (including deaths and retirements),
migrate to another area, or transfer to a different occupation.
6. What demand data are included in the OSDS?
The detailed industry and occupational employment estimates and
projected employment levels and job openings used in the OSDS come from the national
and state Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) and the industry/occupational
(I/O) matrix, as developed by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the
affiliated, state Labor Market Information (LMI) Bureaus. Basically, at the national
level, the BLS assumes a full-employment economy in the projected year and uses
econometric models and survey data to break out the detailed labor requirements
by industries and occupations of the projected, full-employment national economy.
The national projections of industry and occupational employment are used by state
LMI Bureaus as important determinants of the corresponding state industry and occupational
employment levels and job openings.
7. The data in the OSDS are provided at the state and national
levels. Are there concerns about comparing occupational supply and demand at the
state level given that individuals may seek employment in a state other than where
they were educated?
Individuals may search for and locate jobs in a state other than
the state where they receive their postsecondary education. Worker mobility occurs
from state to state and internationally. Research has shown that individuals with
a bachelor's degree or higher tend to be more mobile when looking for employment.
In general, the state level is the correct geographic unit of analysis for sub-baccalaureate
training data. For baccalaureate and above graduates of structured training programs,
their higher geographic mobility rates require the use of the nation as the geographic
unit of analysis.
8. What are Units of Analysis?
Units of Analysis are groups (clusters) of related occupations
and structured training programs that approximate occupational labor markets. The
grouping of occupations and their job openings and related training programs and
their graduates (completers) allows demand data to be compared to institutional
supply information from education and training programs. The relationship between
training programs and occupations is not always a one-to-one relationship. A single
training program can be related to more than one occupation; and, conversely, entrants
into an occupation may come from several training programs.
Units of analysis also have geographic characteristics. The appropriate unit of
analysis may be national, because of high geographic mobility (e.g., for baccalaureate
and above-related occupations), or state and local labor market areas for sub-baccalaureate
occupations with low geographic rates of mobility.
There are three different types of clusters in the national units of analysis. These
cluster types are identified by the letter A, B,
or C at the end of the unit code number:
A clusters are those that are most valid for
supply/demand analysis, as the occupations for the most part require formal educational
training in one of the related programs.
B clusters are those where the related programs train for
the occupations in the cluster, but formal educational preparation is not required
for entry into the occupations, and may not be the most common source of potential
supply.
C clusters contain only programs alone, or occupations alone, and
do not have any supply/demand matching.
9. What is the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) coding
system?
The SOC is the basic occupational coding taxonomy used by all
federal statistical agencies, and affiliated state statistical agencies, for the
purpose of collecting, calculating, or disseminating occupational data. All workers
are classified into one of over 820 occupations according to their occupational
definition.
10. What is the Classification of Instructional Program (CIP)
coding system?
The CIP is a coding scheme for secondary and postsecondary instructional
programs developed by the National Center for Education Statistics of the U.S. Department
of Education. The CIP taxonomy is the accepted federal government statistical classification
standard for instructional programs and is used in a variety of education information
surveys and databases.
11. What are Career Clusters?
Career clusters are groupings of occupations that are aggregated,
because workers in these career areas share similar interests and strengths. Each
cluster includes numerous occupations that require varying degrees of education
and training. The National Association of State Directors of the Career Technical
Education Consortium identified the 16 Career Clusters used in the OSDS.
12. How is the OSDS related to O*NET?
The OSDS utilizes the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC)
taxonomy in its classifications of occupations. The O*Net codes incorporate the
SOC codes and provide additional detail about skill requirements and occupational
characteristics.
13. How does the OSDS handle double majors?
The training data included in the OSDS come from the Integrated
Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). Postsecondary, educational institutions
report to IPEDS the number of degrees and certificates awarded. If an individual
has a double-major, and therefore receives two degrees, he or she is counted as
a program completer for their primary degree program.
14. Are distance learning programs included in the OSDS?
Distance learning graduates are counted along with other graduates
in specific programs. If a student attends a school in a state other than where
he or she resides, and either through distance learning or commuting, finishes the
program, the student is counted as a program completer by the school they attended.
15. What are human capital or training investments?
In this case, people are considered assets that yield income and
other useful outputs over long periods of time, similar to a financial investment,
through expenditures on education, training, and medical care. These expenditures
are investments in human capital.
16. What is the difference between the OSDS and the Eligible Provider
List?
The Workforce Investment Act (WIA) eligible provider list refers
to training programs and educational institutions eligible to receive WIA monies
for training services provided to WIA clients. In contrast, the Occupational Supply/Demand
System (OSDS) provides labor market information with which to guide training investments
to improve the economic returns of these investments, in terms of higher wages and
greater job stability.
17. In the national and state benchmarks for wage trends (all occupations), what
is the statistical significance of the mean wage relative standard error (RSE)?
As described by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), “The relative standard
error (RSE) is the standard error expressed as a percent of the estimate. It can
be used to calculate a ‘confidence interval’ around a sample estimate.”
As BLS explained further: “Sampling errors occur because observations come
only from a sample and not from an entire population. The sample used for this survey
is one of a number of possible samples of the same size that could have been selected
using the sample design. Estimates derived from the different samples would differ
from one another. A measure of the variation among these differing estimates is
called the standard error or sampling error. It indicates the precision with which
an estimate from a particular sample approximates the average result of all possible
samples. The relative standard error (RSE) is the standard error divided by the
estimate. . . The standard error can be used to calculate a confidence interval
around a sample estimate. As an example, table 1 [see source reference below] shows
mean hourly earnings for all workers of $19.29 per hour and a relative standard
error of 1.2 percent for this estimate. At the 90-percent level, the confidence
interval for this estimate is from $18.91 to $19.67 ($19.29 x 1.645 x 0.012 = $0.3808,
rounded to $0.38); ($19.29 – 0.38 = $18.91; $19.29 + 0.38 = $19.67). If all
possible samples were selected to estimate the population value, the interval from
each sample would include the true population value approximately 90 percent of
the time.” Source: U.S. BLS, Bulletin 2590, September, 2007, National Compensation
Survey: Occupational Earnings in the United States, June 2006, footnote 2 Table
1, and Appendix A: Technical Note, Data Reliability.
18. What is the difference between the traditional, National Consumer
Price Index (CPI) and the National Chained Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers
(C-CPI-U) used in the national and state benchmarks for wage trends (all occupations)?
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) explains the difference in the following
manner: “The C-CPI-U employs a formula that reflects the effect of substitution
that consumers make across item categories in response to changes in relative prices
. . . Traditionally, the CPI was considered an upper bound on a cost-of-living index
in that the CPI did not reflect the changes in consumption patterns that consumers
make in response to changes in relative prices.” Source: U.S. BLS, Consumer
Price Index Frequently Asked Questions about the Chained Consumer Price Index for
All Urban Consumers (C-CPI-U), at http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpisupqa.htm.